With the summer and spring leasing season of 2025 in the rearview at this point, the Las Vegas multifamily market must maintain the demand it has amassed during the first half of the year if vacancies are to stay in single digit territory. Healthy absorption allowed
the Las Vegas multifamily market to chew through a historic wave of new supply that arrived over the past three years. Between 22Q2 and 25Q2, developers brought roughly 15,000 apartments to market in Las Vegas, representing the largest wave of construction since at least the Great Recession. Net absorption rose to meet this new supply, with demand amounting to 4,000 units on a net basis between the end of 24Q2 and the end of 25Q2. While lower than the number of deliveries during this period of time, the gap was relatively moderate. Most of the occupancy gains were concentrated in assets built between 2023 and 2024.
Supply pressure and lukewarm demand have driven the industrial vacancy rate higher in Las Vegas over the past year, as the spring of 2025 endures shaky footing and a souring national economic backdrop at the moment.
Approximately 11.6 million SF delivered last year, a high amount of supply by the historical standards of Las Vegas' industrial market. However, the pace of quarter over-quarter completions has decelerated sharply since 24Q1. Due to the abrupt slowdown in starts over the past year, quarterly completions are likely to resemble their
pre-pandemic average during the balance of 2025.
At 10.3% as of 25Q2, Las Vegas has one of the lowest office vacancy rates among major U.S. metros. The trend of large-scale negative absorption in many office markets has not played out here. The local economy's
dependence on the leisure hospitality sector and minimal tech exposure have served as a buffer against national downsizing trends. Office-using employment growth played a considerable role in Las Vegas' economic rebound post-pandemic and underpinned consistent demand for office space. But this momentum has waned more recently. Furthermore, five-year leasing volume is
still about 10% to 20% below 2015-19 levels.
As summer rolls through the Las Vegas Valley, the local retail market remains competitive for tenants seeking space. Demand has consistently mitigated pressure from new supply, and the local vacancy rate stands at 5.1%, near a 15-year low for the market. Between mid-August 2024 and mid-August 2025, absorption generally matched deliveries in Las Vegas' retail market.
After a strong performance surge in 2024, fueled by high-profile events like the Super Bowl, hotel performance in Las Vegas cooled significantly. For the 12-month period ending in August, RevPAR changed by -9.0%, with both ADR and occupancy falling in tandem.
According to market participants, total visitation to Las Vegas dropped approximately 6% during the first five months of the year. This aligns with broader national patterns, where softening domestic leisure and international inbound travel continue to weigh on hotel metrics.
The Boring Company, a tunnel construction firm founded by billionaire Elon Musk, is expanding a major underground transportation project in Las Vegas and adding a corporate location in Austin, Texas, as the startup tries to test superfast hyperloop transit across the United States that could eventually affect real estate development.
The Nevada rental housing market could turn the corner this year.
Apartment rent growth in the state’s two primary markets is expected to outperform both the United States and recent history in 2025.
The strengthening outlook comes on the heels of wheeling property performance over the past five years. Rent growth surged to historic highs in the 24 months following the onset of the pandemic before a wave of supply and faltering renter demand caused gains to slow precipitously and turn negative.
A slowdown in construction and a rebound in renters leasing apartments allowed rent growth to improve in 2024, a trend expected to continue this year.
Las Vegas rent growth to return to positive territory
Las Vegas is, by far, the largest multifamily market in Nevada with 193,000 apartments in its inventory today. As such, it has also been subjected to the largest multifamily boom in both the state and the history of the market.
At its peak, the multifamily construction pipeline in 2022 and 2023 reached a high of nearly 10,000 units under construction in Clark County, the principal county of the Las Vegas metropolitan area.
The supply-heavy situation in Sin City has understandably made for intense competition between owners of existing complexes, who have cut rents and offered concessions to woo renters over the past couple of years. As a result, rent growth in the Las Vegas multifamily market ended 2024 in the red, as it did the year prior.
Yet, the fall of rents in Las Vegas has been less dramatic than in other Sun Belt markets over the past two years, which have experienced an even more dramatic increase in new units than Clark County. This has left Las Vegas with a considerably smaller hole from which it must dig itself out, at least compared to peer markets in the Southwest, such as Austin and San Antonio in Texas as well as Phoenix.
With roughly 4,000 units under construction as the first quarter of 2025 comes to a close, the supply situation in Las Vegas has moderated substantially. This should lead to a shift in the balance of pricing power between landlords and tenants, with owners regaining some ability to push rents this year and the next, at least on a nominal basis.
Reno apartment recovery in full swing
The pace of rent growth is poised to accelerate in the Reno multifamily market this year as steady underlying demand drivers and a drop-off in new construction support gains.
More than 4,500 net new apartments were completed in 2023 and 2024 combined, the largest two-year period of inventory growth on record. This supply-driven increase in competition caused rent growth to turn negative in 2023, and a historic rebound in renter demand was needed to keep growth positive in 2024.
Looking to this year, less than 1,000 units are now underway in Reno, less than half of which are scheduled for completion in 2025.
The easing of supply-side pressure is expected to drive an improvement in market-wide apartment occupancy, providing landlords with ample leverage to push rents.
As a result, the average asking rent is forecast to rise 3.4% in the Reno apartment market in 2025, outpacing the 2.6% gain expected for the U.S. This would also mark the strongest annual increase since 2021 and could indicate the market is on a sustainable road to recovery.
Source: CoStar Analytics
Tom Naseef | (702) 737-8000 | BS.016103
Naseef Commercial Services
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